Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 61.356473 69.473575 77.843227 87.087470 96.981400 107.224749 118.602926
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 48.798876 60.317099 72.800590 87.209303 103.259818 120.477309 140.231352
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 41.300345 54.616338 69.596956 87.438860 107.862895 130.287428 156.548554
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 35.954575 50.534434 67.485000 88.216602 112.484421 139.627445 171.925170
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 30.773896 45.996794 64.278415 87.210691 114.614536 145.781952 183.395110
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 27.634591 43.601849 63.320760 88.583116 119.282096 154.664932 197.839171
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 25.151614 41.766682 62.823946 90.318154 124.226764 163.761846 212.459431
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 21.907979 38.596710 60.377206 89.416525 125.805419 168.753312 222.178379
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 18.593625 34.994968 57.097357 87.224733 125.603324 171.464472 229.079337
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 17.654393 34.679931 58.094992 90.450884 132.081625 182.198996 245.529497
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 16.493844 33.920436 58.406657 92.723546 137.327840 191.426907 260.188370
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 14.393924 31.529976 56.314822 91.701047 138.302937 195.365845 268.431298
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 12.426566 29.170502 54.149936 90.508640 139.035928 199.027938 276.409347
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 11.045874 27.623859 53.049266 90.681957 141.485206 204.798493 286.964341
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.827129 26.213773 52.047410 90.910199 143.947139 210.547516 297.474155
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.868474 25.154248 51.494800 91.707848 147.122317 217.176058 309.068731
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.604105 23.370183 49.715758 90.677312 147.794677 220.586965 316.645338
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.970440 22.720846 49.661108 92.083135 151.718663 228.138173 329.390860
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.463259 22.264478 49.877566 93.860085 156.137402 236.329878 342.958994
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.518093 20.760873 48.301194 92.936714 156.824805 239.684215 350.436120
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.472310 18.844864 45.907598 90.691714 155.611537 240.514403 354.682453
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.365730 19.093347 47.192993 93.996009 162.108188 251.413222 371.720347
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.123725 18.981268 47.839063 96.323079 167.247766 260.553135 386.551332